Geopolitical analyst and author
From naval aviation operations to corporate security in international groups, one discipline throughout: telling a threat from a risk, and rhetoric from strategy.
Analysis, essays and fiction on geopolitics, international relations and risk management, written from the United States. In English, et en français.
Analysis
Au-delà des discours (Beyond the Talking Points)
An analysis newsletter on Substack. Geopolitics and risk, between what is said and what is actually at stake. I write in English or French, depending on the subject.
- Comment le vote a fixé le prix de la guerre.by Cédric Debernard on November 4, 2026 at 8:07 pm
La menace américaine contre l’Iran reste intacte, mais les électeurs ont rendu son exécution plus coûteuse.
Also published in
Essays
Uncontrollable? Trump and the Rationality of Disorder
His foreign policy is often called chaotic. It follows a logic, and this essay takes its mechanisms apart.
Israel, Actually
A sourced and balanced overview of Israel, from its ancient origins to the current ceasefire, so readers can form their own view.
Free ePub download
Novels (in French)
Arctique
Espionage · Thomas Foucher series, vol. 1
Between defense, diplomacy and intelligence, a dive into a bold shadow war between world powers.
Koltan
Espionage · Thomas Foucher series, vol. 2
A spy thriller where geopolitics meets the struggle for resources, in an Africa on the brink.
Errance et Apparence
Romantic comedy
Bart has always preferred not to: not to choose, not to stand out, and above all not to fall in love. His baker is about to seriously complicate the plan.
Reissue coming soon
Fantasy
Over the Mediterranean, a Rafale pilot vanishes for seventeen minutes inside a sphere the radars never saw. He comes back with a single idea: going back.
“Remarkably accurate. A novel so close to reality that it anticipated it…”
Morgane Fert Malka, journalist and Russia and Arctic specialist, on Arctique (translated from French)
“Koltan reminds us that in Africa, as elsewhere, the shadow of intelligence always comes before the clash of arms.”
General Jean-Pierre Meyer, president of Cercle K2, on Koltan (translated from French)
Media
Beyrouth 360
Contact
For a conversation or a question about a piece: cd@cedricdebernard.com
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Publishing, rights and translations: CD Press